But saying it's a confidence trick is saying it's a con. That they're trying to sell someone something that doesn't work. Th op is saying it makes then 10x more productive, so how is that a con?
The marketing says it does more than that. This isn't just a problem unique to LLMs either. We have laws about false advertising for a reason. It's going on all the time. In this case the tech is new so the lines are blurry. But to the technically inclined, it's very obvious where they are. LLMs are artificial, but they are not literally intelligent. Calling them "AI" is a scam. I hope that it's only a matter of time until that definition is clarified and we can stop the bullshit. The longer it goes, the worse it will be when the bubble bursts. Not to be overly dramatic, but economic downturns have real physical consequences. People somewhere will literally starve to death. That number of deaths depends on how well the marketers lied. Better lies lead to bigger bubbles, which when burst lead to more deaths. These are facts. (Just ask ChatGPT, it will surely agree with me, if it's intelligent. ;p)
How does one go about competing at the IMO without "intelligence", exactly? At a minimum it seems we are forced to admit that the machines are smarter than the test authors.
"LLM" as a marketing term seems rational. "Machine learning" also does. We can describe the technology honestly without using a science fiction lexicon. Just because a calculator can do math faster than Isaac Newton doesn't mean it's intelligent. I wouldn't expect it to invent a new way of doing math like Isaac Newton, at least.
Reading your comment made me think of the Roman generals returning to a triumph and someone constantly following them saying "memento mori", reminding them they are not a god. Now, instead of humility it would just be seen as a challenge.
An AMS is useful just so you can have 4 different filaments ready to go at any time. Doesn't need to be for multi material models. I have an A1 with the AMS lite and a Prusa mk3s, and manually changing materials is a chore.
Fair point, I don't print enough (nevermind change material often enough) that it's such a bother that I thought of it. I expected the argument to be keeping it dry, to which I'd have said a drybox and/or dehumidifier is better and (could be) cheaper.
... which begs the question of who would really arrive at the destination. Our own civilization starts to rebel at things that were heralded by the previous generation because the current generation doesn't remember the problems that were solved. In two generations, the humans that remain might not leave the ship at all despite having a whole planet (or multiple) to inhabit.
I doubt that number would be sufficient. Such ship would have to be very stable society. So getting enough people to harshness of unsettled planet is very tall ask.
I believe historically it was either for profit, which there is unlikely to be much in medium term. Or because the new place was expected to be better. Mostly due to resource constraints. But generation ship should be quite optimal. And well outside magic level tech there is not much to do on empty planet.
I think you'd have to manufacture a culture, with rituals and habits designed to keep people focused so that the meaning of their lives was tied to the end-goal. It would make a good story :)
Maybe developers are using it in a less visible way? In the past 6 months I've used AI for a lot of different things. Some highlights:
- Built a windows desktop app that scans local folders for videos and automatically transcribes the audio, summarises the content into a structured JSON format based on screenshots and subtitles, and automatically categorises each video. I used it on my PC to scan a couple of TB of videos. Has a relatively nice interface for browsing videos and searching and stores everything locally in SQLite. Did this in C# & Avalonia - which I've never used before. AI wrote about 75% of the code (about 28k LOC now).
- Built a custom throw-away migration tool to export a customers data from one CRM to import into another. Windows app with basic interface.
- Developed an AI process for updating a webform system that uses XML to update the form structure. This one felt like magic and I initially didn't think it would work, but it only took a minute to try. Some background - years ago I built a custom webform/checklist app for a customer. They update the forms very rarely so we never built an interface for making updates but we did write 2 stored procs to update forms - one outputs the current form as XML and another takes the same XML and runs updates across multiple tables to create a new version of the form. For changes, the customer sends me a spreadsheet with all the current form questions in one column and their changes in another. It's normally just wording changes so I go through and manually update the XML and import it, but this time they had a lot of changes - removing questions, adding new ones, combining others. They had a column with the label changes and another with a description of what they wanted (i.e. "New Question", "Update label", "Combine this with q1, q2 and q3", "remove this question"). The form has about 100 questions and the XML file is about 2500 lines long and defines each form field, section layout, conditional logic, grid display, task creation based on incorrect answers etc, so it's time consuming to make a lot of little changes like this. With no expectation of it working, I took a screenshot of the spreadsheet and the exported XML file and prompted the LLM to modify the XML based on the instructions in the spreadsheet and some basic guidelines. It did it close to perfect, even fixing the spelling mistakes the customer had missed while writing their new questions.
- Along with using it on a daily basis across multiple projects.
I've seen the stat that says developers "...thought AI was making them 20% faster, but it was actually making them 19% slower". Maybe I'm hoodwinking myself somehow, but it's been transformative for me in multiple ways.
Yeah, the app lets you configure which whisper model to use and then downloads it on first load. Whisper blows me away too. Ive only got a 2080 and use the medium model and it's surprisingly good and relatively fast.
When my kids were younger I tried to to replace my swearing by saying "sugarplum fairies". It was fairly successful in becoming a natural replacement. However, the other day I kicked my toe really badly and instinctively yelled "sugarplum FUCKING fairies" and my kids (now early teen) found it extremely funny.
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