Unless we figure out how to make 1 billion+ tokens multimodal context windows (in a commercially viable way) and connect them to Google Docs/Slack/Notion/Zoom meetings/etc, I don't think it will simplify that much. Most of the work is adjusting your mental model to the fact that the agent is a stateless machine that starts from scratch every single time and has little-to-no knowledge besides what's in the code, so you have to be very specific about the context of the task in some ways.
It's different from assigning a task to a co-worker who already knows the business rules and cross-implications of the code in the real world. The agent can't see the broader picture of the stuff it's making, it can go from ignoring obvious (to a human that was present in the last planning meeting) edge cases to coding defensively against hundreds of edge cases that will never occur, if you don't add that to your prompt/context material.
The wealthiest people in tech aren't spending 10s of billions on this without the expectation of future profits. There's risk, but they absolutely expect the bets to be +EV overall.
I have an idea for a reverse turing test where humans have to convince an LLM that they are an LLM. I suspect that most people would fail, proving that humans lack intelligence.
I used to watch archived episodes of Computer Chronicles on YouTube almost every night before going to bed back in 2016~2018. It was my bedtime entertainment, watching those recordings from another era of computing and observing the hosts' enthusiasm for things we take for granted today. As a late millennial, it helped me experience a bit of what the 80s and 90s were like in computing.
I'm using fine-tuned models some with 600b+ parameters and some with 1t+ kimi base / deepseek base and others are general purpose that are from huggingface but I use those through mcp tools
I'm the one who don't bother ordering directly to get better value, but I started noticing less and less restaurants (that I order from) having this option anymore.
They probably saw too little people using it and stopped accepting, sadly.
Having dedicated delivery drivers stops making sense after a while
One benefit of these apps is companies which would never have had a driver now can be ordered, but the cost is all the businesses who did no longer do.
And it’s going to be a hard sell for a small business owner to pay for not employees that are in low demand by the consumer vs the zero fixed cost apps that manage that for you.
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