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Probably worth noting that the asymmetric break of the undecideds in 2016 was what won the election for Trump. There were a lot of undecided voters and a lot of them decided for Trump late in the process so models that assumed a traditional 50-50 split were wrong.


It breaks against the least popular. Clinton was a known unpopular. Now that everyone knows Trump, he was the least popular.


Or they were decided and weren't forthright about it.




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