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> I searched the internet trying to find a reference to the study regarding the glaciers at GNP and found exclusively news stories and blogspam repeating the "removal of the signs" meme from foxnews, right-wing think tanks, fundamentalist christian organizations, and oil & gas funded "science" web sites.

Seriously? How hard did you look? https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/08/us/glaciers-national-park-202...

Also, if you want a science source, Google scholar is your friend. This doesn't look like the original source, since it's from 2003, but it makes similar predictions. https://academic.oup.com/bioscience/article/53/2/131/254976?...



According to your CNN source, the GP is wrong and the glaciers have shrunk.


> The signs at Glacier National Park warning that its signature glaciers would be gone by 2020 are being changed. [CNN link]

> In the 1990s, some climate model predicted the eponymous glacier would be gone by 2020. Signs around the parks' entrances were erected boldly stating this claim. In January of 2020, the signs were removed because the glaciers hadn't even shrunk. [GP]

No, the source backed up the GP, because the prediction was that the glacier would be gone. Whether or not it shrank is secondary.


It’s not gone, it’s only partially gone - Climate change debunked!


>>> the signs were removed because the glaciers hadn't even shrunk.

Except the same article explains how the glaciers have shrunk. It's not secondary, it's core to the FUD argument made.


A theory was posited, and a testable prediction was made. Since the prediction was false, the theory should be critically examined. That's the scientific method.

A critical examination of the theory which produced the incorrect prediction seems to be missing. That's the point.

It's not reasonable to point to partial fulfillment of the claim; if that was the standard of evidence, a perpetual motion enthusiast could reasonably point out that they almost broke even.

From what I've understood, the reasonable arguments on either side boil down (heh) to the rate of change, because climate varies so much naturally and we seem to be accelerating it. If the rate is not what was predicted, that's a big deal and makes this failed prediction all the more relevant.




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