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If you are genuine in your questions, I will give them a shot.

AGI applied to the inputs (or supply chain) of what is needed for inference (power, DC space, chips, network equipment, etc) will dramatically reduced costs of inference. Most of the costs of stuff today are driven by the scarcity of "smart people's time". The raw resources of material needed are dirt cheap (cheaper than water). Transforming raw resources into useful high tech is a function of applied intelligence. Replace the human intelligence with machine intelligence, and costs will keep dropping (faster than the curve they are already on). Economic history has already shown this effect to be true; as we develop better tools to assist human productivity, the unit cost per piece of tech drops dramatically (moore's law is just one example, everything that tech touches experiences this effect).

If you look at almost any universal problem with the human condition, one important bottleneck to improving it is intelligence (or "smart people's time").



I am sorry to quote myself from another comment, however this is partially the same response:

> This is a lovely idea, it truly is. However, if you don't somehow bootstrap AGI, won't "the money" just use (hijack) it to make more money, in the normal dark ways?

> I always figured that we will begin to see signs of AGI when a quant firm starts making really outsized returns.

> "Hey AGI, how do we avoid being exposed as having implemented AGI?" - Now there is the next trillion dollar and very boring question.

In this seemingly undeniable environment, what will be the timescale for our civilization to recover with the media and inference owners having full control of "AGI" - until the benefits finally trickle down to general humanity? 1 year, 10 years, 5 generations, possibly never? Assuming you accept my priors, what is that timescale in your view?




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